These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional.  It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a 
projection of this round of the tournament.
| 
| Rank | Name | Grade | School | Rating | State Rank | 
|---|
 
| 1 | Matt Schadler | 11 | Reitz Memorial | 15:50 | #8 |  
| 2 | Evan Sorensen | 11 | Evansville Central | 16:04 | #20 |  
| 3 | Adam Duckworth | 12 | Mount Vernon | 16:35 | #98 |  
| 4 | Justin Goodwin | 11 | Barr-Reeve | 16:36 | #103 |  
| 5 | Adam Babillis | 11 | Mater Dei | 16:37 | #104 |  
| 6 | Justin Niederhaus | 11 | Princeton | 16:43 | #136 |  
| 7 | Jackson Sawyer | 10 | Castle | 17:01 | #213 |  
| 8 | Kyle McCallister | 11 | Boonville | 17:02 | #216 |  
| 9 | Travis Hart | 10 | Gibson Southern | 17:04 | #229 |  
| 10 | Greer Opel | 11 | Evansville North | 17:05 | #243 |  
| 11 | Tyler Reifsteck | 12 | Evansville Central | 17:11 | #268 |  
| 12 | Matt Scales | 12 | Castle | 17:16 | #311 |  
| 13 | Brenton Bateman | 10 | F.J. Reitz | 17:16 | #315 |  
| 14 | Zach Kirchoff | 11 | South Knox | 17:17 | #318 |  
| 15 | Kalen Ochs | 12 | Barr-Reeve | 17:19 | #342 |  
| 16 | Alton Hoops | 12 | South Knox | 17:21 | #351 |  
| 17 | Jackson Krieg | 10 | Princeton | 17:25 | #383 |  
| 18 | Jordan Kaiser | 11 | Barr-Reeve | 17:26 | #390 |  
| 19 | Micah Keller | 12 | Mount Vernon | 17:26 | #395 |  
| 20 | Hawk Royer | 12 | Barr-Reeve | 17:27 | #405 |  
| 21 | Lee Friedman | 11 | Princeton | 17:28 | #413 |  
| 22 | Connor Heller | 9 | Barr-Reeve | 17:33 | #460 |  
| 23 | Chris Brake | 11 | Castle | 17:34 | #465 |  
| 24 | Seth Horty | 12 | Reitz Memorial | 17:38 | #510 |  
| 25 | Kyler Havill | 11 | Princeton | 17:40 | #524 |  
| 26 | Logan Goldman | 12 | Evansville Central | 17:41 | #545 |  
| 27 | Corde Outlaw | 10 | Castle | 17:44 | #579 |  
| 28 | Jeremiah White | 12 | Harrison (Evansville) | 17:47 | #614 |  
| 29 | Isaac Gray | 9 | Washington | 17:47 | #616 |  
| 30 | Kyle Luigs | 12 | Mater Dei | 17:49 | #634 |  
| 31 | Ethan Jones | 11 | Castle | 17:50 | #650 |  
| 32 | Tanner Schickel | 10 | Mater Dei | 17:54 | #698 |  
| 33 | George Economou | 10 | Castle | 17:55 | #699 |  
| 34 | Camden Frimming | 11 | F.J. Reitz | 17:55 | #704 |  
| 35 | Bryce Murphy | 9 | Barr-Reeve | 18:00 | #764 |  
| 36 | Caden Armstrong | 11 | Pike Central | 18:01 | #776 |  
| 37 | Austin Schmidt | 11 | Harrison (Evansville) | 18:02 | #792 |  
| 38 | Collin Elliot | 11 | Washington | 18:06 | #842 |  
| 39 | Joseph Russler | 9 | Reitz Memorial | 18:09 | #880 |  
| 40 | Mitchell Kavanaugh | 9 | Barr-Reeve | 18:16 | #968 |  
| 41 | Matt Gerst | 11 | Castle | 18:17 | #978 |  
| 42 | Joel Kelley | 12 | Mater Dei | 18:18 | #994 |  
| 43 | Michael Rust | 11 | Evansville Central | 18:20 | #1,029 |  
| 44 | Easton Brower | 12 | Lincoln (Vincennes) | 18:22 | #1,060 |  
| 45 | Nathan Meese | 12 | Evansville North | 18:23 | #1,071 |  
| 46 | Adam Hudson | 10 | South Knox | 18:26 | #1,114 |  
| 47 | Jeb Mayles | 11 | South Knox | 18:28 | #1,140 |  
| 48 | Tommy Kelley | 9 | Mount Vernon | 18:29 | #1,153 |  
| 49 | David Gansman | 11 | Harrison (Evansville) | 18:30 | #1,173 |  
| 50 | Johnathan West | 11 | Mount Vernon | 18:31 | #1,182 |  
| 51 | David Thompson | 12 | Reitz Memorial | 18:35 | #1,248 |  
| 52 | Adam Reed | 10 | Gibson Southern | 18:36 | #1,267 |  
| 53 | Draven Huff | 10 | Pike Central | 18:38 | #1,296 |  
| 54 | Luke Bays | 9 | Evansville North | 18:41 | #1,331 |  
| 55 | Heath Rumple | 11 | Princeton | 18:42 | #1,349 |  
| 56 | Axil Raeber | 11 | Evansville North | 18:42 | #1,353 |  
| 57 | Garrett Couchenour | 10 | South Knox | 18:46 | #1,389 |  
| 58 | Gabe Fiscus | 11 | Washington Catholic | 18:51 | #1,449 |  
| 59 | Jordan Hart | 9 | Harrison (Evansville) | 18:52 | #1,460 |  
| 60 | Isaiah Borders | 12 | North Daviess | 18:55 | #1,490 |  
| 61 | Abram Taylor-Schroeder | 10 | Boonville | 18:56 | #1,507 |  
| 62 | Jacob Gorman | 12 | Mater Dei | 18:56 | #1,508 |  
| 63 | Matt Schnautz | 12 | F.J. Reitz | 18:56 | #1,513 |  |  | 
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.  Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.